With the start of the NFL regular season just a couple weeks away we thought it would be a good time to share a few of our NFL Systems from our systems library. These systems are diverse in their content but find common ground in the winner’s circle against the spread.
Play ON NFL road favorites of three or more points with an over/under line no more than forty-three points. These road favorites have been solid since 1998 posting a perfect 6-0 record both straight up and against the spread. Not only have these teams won and covered but also they have done it in dramatic fashion winning by an average of 24.8 points per game and covering the spread by 18.9 points per game. We currently have two active games for Week 1 of the NFL season with Arizona and Dallas both qualifying for this system as play on teams.
Play ON NFC road favorites of less than seven points versus divisional opponents, these NFC favorites are 24-6 against the spread winning by an average of 9.7 points per game and covering the spread by 6.8 points per game since 2007. This system has several active games based on the early lines but they could change so we will only share the Week 1 selections with you now. San Francisco, Arizona and Dallas are all-active in Week 1 of the NFL Season; make sure you check the lines as game day approaches.
Our next system deals with teams that are playing their final game before their bye week, we also have a “what if” situation that applies to this system. Play ON NFL home favorites of 6.5 to 13.5 points before their bye week. This system plays on teams that should be better than their opponent based on the line range and they certainly do not want to face two weeks of practice with their coach telling them how they were outplayed and possibly defeated by a lesser opponent. These teams are 38-2 straight up winning by an average of 17.4 points per game and 34-6 against the spread covering by an average of 8.5 points per game. Our “what if” situation is if our Play ON team threw for less than 280 yards passing in their previous game, the record for the system is 31-1 SU and 29-3 ATS.
The final system for this report has only lost twice both straight up and against the spread since 1989. We want to Play ON NFL home teams that have averaged thirty or more rushes per game on the season facing an opponent that has averaged at least four sacks per game this year as long as our Play ON team is not favored by seven or more points and both teams have a winning record. This system has produced a record of 27-2 both straight up and against the spread winning by an average of 9.9 points per game and covering the spread by an average of 9.4 points per game respectively.
We hope these systems help with your handicapping and lead you to the winners circle many times this season. Have a great 2010 Football Season, be safe and as always good luck.
Rob
Social Bookmarking
